Abstraction Lift
by
Jikku Jose
in
jikkujose.in

The story of intelligence is the story of tool use. Every intelligence upgrade creates better tools; better tools improve our intelligence. This recursive loop drives technological progress, with each abstraction layer democratizing access while hiding complexity.

The Pattern of Progress

Computing history reveals a clear pattern:

Era From To Developers Skill Req. Distance to Problem Cost Team Size
1945-1955 Vacuum Tubes Transistors ~5K 0.9 0.9 0.95 50+
1955-1965 Assembly C ~50K 0.8 0.8 0.9 30-40
1965-1980 C C++ ~300K 0.7 0.7 0.8 15-20
1980-1995 C++ VM/Runtime ~2M 0.65 0.65 0.75 12-18
1995-2002 VM/Runtime HLL ~5M 0.6 0.6 0.7 8-12
2002-2007 HLL Libraries ~8M 0.5 0.5 0.6 6-10
2007-2013 Libraries Frameworks ~15M 0.45 0.4 0.5 4-8
2013-2020 Frameworks APIs/Cloud ~27M 0.4 0.3 0.3 3-5
2020-2025 APIs/Cloud AI Solutions ~30M 0.2 0.1 0.1 1-3

With each abstraction lift:

Intelligence Amplifiers: Tools That Expand Our Capabilities

The recursive relationship between tools and intelligence has driven human progress throughout history:

Each tool creates a platform for collective intelligence that exceeds what came before. Computing abstractions follow this same pattern, amplifying our cognitive capabilities.

The Power of Leverage

The essence of tools is leverage—amplifying human capabilities. Each abstraction transition exponentially increases our leverage:

Higher Order Components

As abstraction levels rise, we work with increasingly complex primitives. A modern developer using a framework effectively wields the combined output of dozens of engineers from a decade ago. Each component encapsulates vast complexity - a single npm import might represent thousands of person-hours.

Standing on the shoulders of giants is no longer limited to scientific advancement - it’s the daily reality of technology creation. The democratization of previously elite capabilities becomes the foundation for the next wave of innovation.

The AI Inflection Point

The current AI revolution fundamentally changes who can implement solutions. As AI becomes mainstream, a single person potentially wields the equivalent capability of entire contemporary teams. The logical endpoint of this abstraction lift pattern is what Sam Altman predicted in 2023: “one-person, billion-dollar companies.” This follows Naval Ravikant’s prescient observation from 12 years ago that the optimal size of companies was steadily shrinking—a trend that abstraction lifts have only accelerated.

This isn’t hyperbole but the natural conclusion of our observed pattern. When examining the progression in our table above, the final transition from APIs/Cloud to AI Solutions represents the most dramatic compression of team size and skill requirements yet.

Look for problems that currently require teams to solve - these represent the next frontier of individual empowerment through AI assistance. The pattern suggests complex systems integration, regulatory compliance, and specialized domain analysis as prime candidates for this transformation.

How to Prepare

  1. Learn one layer deeper: Always understand at least one abstraction level below where you work
  2. Go wide, not just deep: Interdisciplinary knowledge becomes more valuable as implementation barriers fall
  3. Develop non-technical skills: As team sizes shrink, each person must wear multiple hats
  4. Master sales: As implementation becomes democratized, sales will matter more than building capabilities
  5. Focus on distribution: In a world where anyone can build, distribution becomes the only sustainable moat
  6. Prioritize judgment over effort: Direction will matter more than magnitude; earn from choosing the right problems rather than brute-force execution
  7. Embrace rapid experimentation: Try many more bets, unlike the careful, calculated approaches of past technological eras
  8. Sharpen questioning skills: This is the era of those who can ask good questions, as answer-providing machines are already here
  9. Embrace volatility: The era of peacefully settling into a stable corner is gone; be prepared to change jobs/businesses in an instant
  10. Follow the money: The easiest litmus test for value is economic returns; train yourself to measure value in every effort, regardless of political context
  11. Be global, ditch local: The world is truly our market; embrace it. Sell outside, buy inside. Leverage the unique arbitrage of knowledge work: live in lower-cost locations while selling to global markets
  12. Financial planning: Plan for chaotic ups and downs. Ignore social media hype trains, be prudent on your burn rate. Save for the rainy day on your sunny days.
  13. Guard your attention: Every digital experience feeds on your attention. Protect it vigilantly. You will need it to think clearly, judge decisively, plan strategically and execute diligently.

We’re entering an era where technology’s limiting factor won’t be “how” but “what”—not implementation capability but imagination and problem selection.